Essay by Nils Gilman: “A strange and unsettling weather pattern is forming over the landscape of scholarly research. For decades, the climate of academic inquiry was shaped by a prevailing high-pressure system, a consensus grounded in the vision articulated by Vannevar Bush in “Science: The Endless Frontier” (1945). That era was characterized by robust federal investment, a faith in the university as the engine of basic research, and a compact that traded public funding for scientific autonomy and the promise of long-term societal benefit. It was a climate conducive to the slow, deliberate, and often unpredictable growth of knowledge, nurtured by a diverse ecosystem of human researchers — the vital “seed stock” of intellectual discovery.
But that high-pressure system is collapsing. A brutal, unyielding cold front of academic defunding has swept across the nation, a consequence of shifting political priorities, populist resentment, and a calculated assault on the university as an institution perceived as hostile to certain political agendas. This is not merely a belt-tightening exercise; it is, for all intents and purposes, the dismantling of Vannevar Bush’s Compact, the end of the era of “big government”-funded Wissenschaft. Funding streams for basic research are dwindling, grant applications face increasingly long odds, and the financial precarity of academic careers deters the brightest minds. The human capital necessary for sustained, fundamental inquiry is beginning to wither.
Simultaneously, a warm, moisture-laden airmass is rapidly advancing: the astonishing rise of AI-based research tools. Powered by vast datasets and sophisticated algorithms, these tools promise to revolutionize every stage of the research process – from literature review and data analysis to hypothesis generation and the drafting of scholarly texts. As a recent New Yorker piece on AI and the humanities suggests, these AI engines can already generate deep research and coherent texts on virtually any subject, seemingly within moments. They offer the prospect of unprecedented efficiency, speed, and scale in the production of scholarly output.
The collision of these two epochal weather systems — the brutal cold front of academic defunding and the warm, expansive airmass of AI-based research tools — is creating an atmospheric instability unlike anything the world of scholarship has ever witnessed. Along the front where these forces meet, a series of powerful and unpredictable tornados are beginning to touch down, reshaping the terrain of knowledge production in real-time…(More)”.