Artificial Intelligence: Generative AI’s Environmental and Human Effects

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

GAO Report: “Generative artificial intelligence (AI) could revolutionize entire industries. In the nearer term, it may dramatically increase productivity and transform daily tasks in many sectors. However, both its benefits and risks, including its environmental and human effects, are unknown or unclear.

Generative AI uses significant energy and water resources, but companies are generally not reporting details of these uses. Most estimates of environmental effects of generative AI technologies have focused on quantifying the energy consumed, and carbon emissions associated with generating that energy, required to train the generative AI model. Estimates of water consumption by generative AI are limited. Generative AI is expected to be a driving force for data center demand, but what portion of data center electricity consumption is related to generative AI is unclear. According to the International Energy Agency, U.S. data center electricity consumption was approximately 4 percent of U.S. electricity demand in 2022 and could be 6 percent of demand in 2026.

While generative AI may bring beneficial effects for people, GAO highlights five risks and challenges that could result in negative human effects on society, culture, and people from generative AI (see figure). For example, unsafe systems may produce outputs that compromise safety, such as inaccurate information, undesirable content, or the enabling of malicious behavior. However, definitive statements about these risks and challenges are difficult to make because generative AI is rapidly evolving, and private developers do not disclose some key technical information.

Selected generative artificial antelligence risks and challenges that could result in human effects

GAO identified policy options to consider that could enhance the benefits or address the challenges of environmental and human effects of generative AI. These policy options identify possible actions by policymakers, which include Congress, federal agencies, state and local governments, academic and research institutions, and industry. In addition, policymakers could choose to maintain the status quo, whereby they would not take additional action beyond current efforts. See below for details on the policy options…(More)”.

Inquiry as Infrastructure: Defining Good Questions in the Age of Data and AI

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Paper by Stefaan Verhulst: “The most consequential failures in data-driven policymaking and AI deployment often stem not from poor models or inadequate datasets but from poorly framed questions. This paper centers question literacy as a critical yet underdeveloped competency in the data and policy landscape. Arguing for a “new science of questions,” it explores what constitutes a good question-one that is not only technically feasible but also ethically grounded, socially legitimate, and aligned with real-world needs. Drawing on insights from The GovLab’s 100 Questions Initiative, the paper develops a taxonomy of question types-descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive-and identifies five essential criteria for question quality: questions must be general yet concrete, co-designed with affected communities and domain experts, purpose-driven and ethically sound, grounded in data and technical realities, and capable of evolving through iterative refinement. The paper also outlines common pathologies of bad questions, such as vague formulation, biased framing, and solution-first thinking. Rather than treating questions as incidental to analysis, it argues for institutionalizing deliberate question design through tools like Q-Labs, question maturity models, and new professional roles for data stewards. Ultimately, the paper contends that the questions are infrastructures of meaning. What we ask shapes not only what data we collect or what models we build but also what values we uphold and what futures we make possible…(More)”.

The Overlooked Importance of Data Reuse in AI Infrastructure

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Essay by Oxford Insights and The Data Tank: “Employing data stewards and embedding responsible data reuse principles in the programme or ecosystem and within participating organisations is one of the pathways forward. Data stewards are proactive agents responsible for catalysing collaboration, tackling these challenges and embedding data reuse practices in their organisations. 

The role of Chief Data Officer for government agencies has become more common in recent years and we suggest the same needs to happen with the role of the Chief Data Steward. Chief Data Officers are mostly focused on internal data management and have a technical focus. With the changes in the data governance landscape, this profession needs to be reimagined and iterated. Embedded in both the demand and the supply sides of data, data stewards are proactive agents empowered to create public value by re-using data and data expertise. They are tasked to identify opportunities for productive cross-sectoral collaboration, and proactively request or enable functional access to data, insights, and expertise. 

One exception comes from New Zealand. The UN has released a report on the role of data stewards and National Statistical Offices (NSOs) in the new data ecosystem. This report provides many use-cases that can be adopted by governments seeking to establish such a role. In New Zealand, there is an appointed Government Chief Data Steward, who is in charge of setting the strategic direction for government’s data management, and focuses on data reuse altogether. 

Data stewards can play an important role in organisations leading data reuse programmes. Data stewards would be responsible for responding to the challenges with participation introduced above. 

A Data Steward’s role includes attracting participation for data reuse programmes by:

  • Demonstrating and communicating the value proposition of data reuse and collaborations, by engaging in partnerships and steering data reuse and sharing among data commons, cooperatives, or collaborative infrastructures. 
  • Developing responsible data lifecycle governance, and communicating insights to raise awareness and build trust among stakeholders; 

A Data Steward’s role includes maintaining and scaling participation for data reuse programmes by:

  • Maintaining trust by engaging with wider stakeholders and establishing clear engagement methodologies. For example, by embedding a social license, data stewards assure the digital self determination principle is embedded in data reuse processes. 
  • Fostering sustainable partnerships and collaborations around data, via developing business cases for data sharing and reuse, and measuring impact to build the societal case for data collaboration; and
  • Innovating in the sector by turning data to decision intelligence to ensure that insights derived from data are more effectively integrated into decision-making processes…(More)”.

Guiding the provision of quality policy advice: the 5D model

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Paper by Christopher Walker and Sally Washington: “… presents a process model to guide the production of quality policy advice. The work draws on engagement with both public sector practitioners and academics to design a process model for the development of policy advice that works in practice (can be used by policy professionals in their day-to-day work) and aligns with theory (can be taught as part of explaining the dynamics of a wider policy advisory system). The 5D Model defines five key domains of inquiry: understanding Demand, being open to Discovery, undertaking Design, identifying critical Decision points, and shaping advice to enable Delivery. Our goal is a ‘repeatable, scalable’ model for supporting policy practitioners to provide quality advice to decision makers. The model was developed and tested through an extensive process of engagement with senior policy practitioners who noted the heuristic gave structure to practices that determine how policy advice is organized and formulated. Academic colleagues confirmed the utility of the model for explaining and teaching how policy is designed and delivered within the context of a wider policy advisory system (PAS). A unique aspect of this work was the collaboration and shared interest amongst academics and practitioners to define a model that is ‘useful for teaching’ and ‘useful for doing’…(More)”.

Brazil’s AI-powered social security app is wrongly rejecting claims

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Article by Gabriel Daros: “Brazil’s social security institute, known as INSS, added AI to its app in 2018 in an effort to cut red tape and speed up claims. The office, known for its long lines and wait times, had around 2 million pending requests for everything from doctor’s appointments to sick pay to pensions to retirement benefits at the time. While the AI-powered tool has since helped process thousands of basic claims, it has also rejected requests from hundreds of people like de Brito — who live in remote areas and have little digital literacy — for minor errors.

The government is right to digitize its systems to improve efficiency, but that has come at a cost, Edjane Rodrigues, secretary for social policies at the National Confederation of Workers in Agriculture, told Rest of World.

“If the government adopts this kind of service to speed up benefits for the people, this is good. We are not against it,” she said. But, particularly among farm workers, claims can be complex because of the nature of their work, she said, referring to cases that require additional paperwork, such as when a piece of land is owned by one individual but worked by a group of families. “There are many peculiarities in agriculture, and rural workers are being especially harmed” by the app, according to Rodrigues.

“Each automated decision is based on specified legal criteria, ensuring that the standards set by the social security legislation are respected,” a spokesperson for INSS told Rest of World. “Automation does not work in an arbitrary manner. Instead, it follows clear rules and regulations, mirroring the expected standards applied in conventional analysis.”

Governments across Latin America have been introducing AI to improve their processes. Last year, Argentina began using ChatGPT to draft court rulings, a move that officials said helped cut legal costs and reduce processing times. Costa Rica has partnered with Microsoft to launch an AI tool to optimize tax data collection and check for fraud in digital tax receipts. El Salvador recently set up an AI lab to develop tools for government services.

But while some of these efforts have delivered promising results, experts have raised concerns about the risk of officials with little tech know-how applying these tools with no transparency or workarounds…(More)”.

Exit to Open

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Article by Jim Fruchterman and Steve Francis: “What happens when a nonprofit program or an entire organization needs to shut down? The communities being served, and often society as a whole, are the losers. What if it were possible to mitigate some of that damage by sharing valuable intellectual property assets of the closing effort for longer term benefit? Organizations in these tough circumstances must give serious thought to a responsible exit for their intangible assets.

At the present moment of unparalleled disruption, the entire nonprofit sector is rethinking everything: language to describe their work, funding sources, partnerships, and even their continued existence. Nonprofit programs and entire charities will be closing, or being merged out of existence. Difficult choices are being made. Who will fill the role of witness and archivist to preserve the knowledge of these organizations, their writings, media, software, and data, for those who carry on, either now or in the future?

We believe leaders in these tough days should consider a model we’re calling Exit to Open (E2O) and related exit concepts to safeguard these assets going forward…

Exit to Open (E2O) exploits three elements:

  1. We are in an era where the cost of digital preservation is low; storing a few more bytes for a long time is cheap.
  2. It’s far more effective for an organization’s staff to isolate and archive critical content than an outsider with limited knowledge attempting to do so later.
  3. These resources are of greatest use if there is a human available to interpret them, and a deliberate archival process allows for the identification of these potential interpreters…(More)”.

From Answer-Giving to Question-Asking: Inverting the Socratic Method in the Age of AI

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Blog by Anthea Roberts: “…If questioning is indeed becoming a premier cognitive skill in the AI age, how should education and professional development evolve? Here are some possibilities:

  1. Assessment Through Iterative Questioning: Rather than evaluating students solely on their answers, we might assess their ability to engage in sustained, productive questioning—their skill at probing, following up, identifying inconsistencies, and refining inquiries over multiple rounds. Can they navigate a complex problem through a series of well-crafted questions? Can they identify when an AI response contains subtle errors or omissions that require further exploration?
  2. Prompt Literacy as Core Curriculum: Just as reading and writing are foundational literacies, the ability to effectively prompt and question AI systems may become a basic skill taught from early education onward. This would include teaching students how to refine queries, test assumptions, and evaluate AI responses critically—recognizing that AI systems still hallucinate, contain biases from their training data, and have uneven performance across different domains.
  3. Socratic AI Interfaces: Future AI interfaces might be designed explicitly to encourage Socratic dialogue rather than one-sided Q&A. Instead of simply answering queries, these systems might respond with clarifying questions of their own: “It sounds like you’re asking about X—can you tell me more about your specific interest in this area?” This would model the kind of iterative exchange that characterizes productive human-human dialogue…(More)”.

Hundreds of scholars say U.S. is swiftly heading toward authoritarianism

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Article by Frank Langfitt: “A survey of more than 500 political scientists finds that the vast majority think the United States is moving swiftly from liberal democracy toward some form of authoritarianism.

In the benchmark survey, known as Bright Line Watch, U.S.-based professors rate the performance of American democracy on a scale from zero (complete dictatorship) to 100 (perfect democracy). After President Trump’s election in November, scholars gave American democracy a rating of 67. Several weeks into Trump’s second term, that figure plummeted to 55.

“That’s a precipitous drop,” says John Carey, a professor of government at Dartmouth and co-director of Bright Line Watch. “There’s certainly consensus: We’re moving in the wrong direction.”…Not all political scientists view Trump with alarm, but many like Carey who focus on democracy and authoritarianism are deeply troubled by Trump’s attempts to expand executive power over his first several months in office.

“We’ve slid into some form of authoritarianism,” says Steven Levitsky, a professor of government at Harvard, and co-author of How Democracies Die. “It is relatively mild compared to some others. It is certainly reversible, but we are no longer living in a liberal democracy.”…Kim Lane Scheppele, a Princeton sociologist who has spent years tracking Hungary, is also deeply concerned: “We are on a very fast slide into what’s called competitive authoritarianism.”

When these scholars use the term “authoritarianism,” they aren’t talking about a system like China’s, a one-party state with no meaningful elections. Instead, they are referring to something called “competitive authoritarianism,” the kind scholars say they see in countries such as Hungary and Turkey.

In a competitive authoritarian system, a leader comes to power democratically and then erodes the system of checks and balances. Typically, the executive fills the civil service and key appointments — including the prosecutor’s office and judiciary — with loyalists. He or she then attacks the media, universities and nongovernmental organizations to blunt public criticism and tilt the electoral playing field in the ruling party’s favor…(More)”.

How to Survive the A.I. Revolution

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Essay by John Cassidy: “It isn’t clear where the term “Luddite” originated. Some accounts trace it to Ned Ludd, a textile worker who reportedly smashed a knitting frame in 1779. Others suggest that it may derive from folk memories of King Ludeca, a ninth-century Anglo-Saxon monarch who died in battle. Whatever the source, many machine breakers identified “General Ludd” as their leader. A couple of weeks after the Rawfolds attack, William Horsfall, another mill owner, was shot dead. A letter sent after Horsfall’s assassination—which hailed “the avenging of the death of the two brave youths who fell at the siege of Rawfolds”—began “By Order of General Ludd.”

The British government, at war with Napoleon, regarded the Luddites as Jacobin insurrectionists and responded with brutal suppression. But this reaction stemmed from a fundamental misinterpretation. Far from being revolutionary, Luddism was a defensive response to the industrial capitalism that was threatening skilled workers’ livelihoods. The Luddites weren’t mindless opponents of technology but had a clear logic to their actions—an essentially conservative one. Since they had no political representation—until 1867, the British voting franchise excluded the vast majority—they concluded that violent protest was their only option. “The burning of Factorys or setting fire to the property of People we know is not right, but Starvation forces Nature to do that which he would not,” one Yorkshire cropper wrote. “We have tried every effort to live by Pawning our Cloaths and Chattles, so we are now on the brink for the last struggle.”

As alarm about artificial intelligence has gone global, so has a fascination with the Luddites. The British podcast “The Ned Ludd Radio Hour” describes itself as “your weekly dose of tech skepticism, cynicism, and absurdism.” Kindred themes are explored in the podcast “This Machine Kills,” co-hosted by the social theorist Jathan Sadowski, whose new book, “The Mechanic and the Luddite,” argues that the fetishization of A.I. and other digital technologies obscures their role in disciplining labor and reinforcing a profit-driven system. “Luddites want technology—the future—to work for all of us,” he told the Guardian.The technology journalist Brian Merchant makes a similar case in “Blood in the Machine: The Origins of the Rebellion Against Big Tech” (2023). Blending a vivid account of the original Luddites with an indictment of contemporary tech giants like Amazon and Uber, Merchant portrays the current wave of automation as part of a centuries-long struggle over labor and power. “Working people are staring down entrepreneurs, tech monopolies, and venture capital firms that are hunting for new forms of labor-saving tech—be it AI, robotics, or software automation—to replace them,” Merchant writes. “They are again faced with losing their jobs to the machine.”..(More)”.

Test and learn: a playbook for mission-driven government

Curated on Posted on by Stefaan Verhulst

Playbook by the Behavioral Insights Team: “…sets out more detailed considerations around embedding test and learn in government, along with a broader range of methods that can be used at different stages of the innovation cycle. These can be combined flexibly, depending on the stage of the policy or service cycle, the available resources, and the nature of the challenge – whether that’s improving services, testing creative new approaches, or navigating uncertainty in new policy areas.

Almost all of the methods set out can be augmented or accelerated by harnessing AI tools – from using AI agents to conduct large-scale qualitative research, to AI-enhanced evidence discovery and analysis, and AI-powered systems mapping and modelling. AI should be treated as a core component of the toolkit at each stage.  And the speed of evolution of the application of AI is another strong argument for maintaining an agile mindset and regularly updating our ways of working. 

We hope this playbook will make test-and-learn more tangible to people who are new to it, and will expand the toolkit of people who have more experience with the approach. And ultimately we hope it will serve as a practical cheatsheet for building and improving the fabric of life…(More)”.