NBER Working Paper by Jon Kleinberg, Himabindu Lakkaraju, Jure Leskovec, Jens Ludwig, and Sendhil Mullainatha: “We examine how machine learning can be used to improve and understand human decision-making. In particular, we focus on a decision that has important policy consequences. Millions of times each year, judges must decide where defendants will await trial—at home or in jail. By law, this decision hinges on the judge’s prediction of what the defendant would do if released. This is a promising machine learning application because it is a concrete prediction task for which there is a large volume of data available. Yet comparing the algorithm to the judge proves complicated. First, the data are themselves generated by prior judge decisions. We only observe crime outcomes for released defendants, not for those judges detained. This makes it hard to evaluate counterfactual decision rules based on algorithmic predictions. Second, judges may have a broader set of preferences than the single variable that the algorithm focuses on; for instance, judges may care about racial inequities or about specific crimes (such as violent crimes) rather than just overall crime risk. We deal with these problems using different econometric strategies, such as quasi-random assignment of cases to judges. Even accounting for these concerns, our results suggest potentially large welfare gains: a policy simulation shows crime can be reduced by up to 24.8% with no change in jailing rates, or jail populations can be reduced by 42.0% with no increase in crime rates. Moreover, we see reductions in all categories of crime, including violent ones. Importantly, such gains can be had while also significantly reducing the percentage of African-Americans and Hispanics in jail. We find similar results in a national dataset as well. In addition, by focusing the algorithm on predicting judges’ decisions, rather than defendant behavior, we gain some insight into decision-making: a key problem appears to be that judges to respond to ‘noise’ as if it were signal. These results suggest that while machine learning can be valuable, realizing this value requires integrating these tools into an economic framework: being clear about the link between predictions and decisions; specifying the scope of payoff functions; and constructing unbiased decision counterfactuals….(More)”
Understanding Actionable Intelligence for Social Policy
Video on “The Actionable Intelligence (AI) model is a new approach to policy development. The AI approach is supported by Integrated Data Systems (IDS) which link administrative records from multiple agencies to give a broader view of social problems and policy solutions. The use of linked administrative data allows policy analysts, program evaluators and social innovators to test new social program ideas at a much lower cost and higher speed. AI uses these IDS to create a newly informed dialogue among executive leaders, stakeholders and researchers regarding what works best, for whom and in the most cost effective way….(More videos from AISP-UPENN)
Understanding Actionable Intelligence for Social Policy from AISP_UPENN on Vimeo.
Best Government Emerging Technologies
Report released at the World Government Summit (Dubai): “… the “Best Government Emerging Technologies” recognises governments that are experimenting with emerging technologies to provide government services more e ciently, e ectively and have proven results showing how they have created greater public value and transformed people›s lives.
For this purpose, the Prime Minister’s Office has joined forces with Indra to analyse and identify 29 Emerging Technologies, grouped in 9 categories that include technologies such as Artificial Intelligence, Blockchain, Cloud Computing, Robotics & Space, Smart Platforms, amongst other.
Wherever possible, case studies have been analysed as example of the use of the technology in public bodies and government, taking into account that some of these technologies may not have been implemented yet in the public sector and therefore have not a ected the lives of citizens. e analysis comprises 73 international case studies from 32 di erent countries.
is document represents an executive summary of the analysis ndings, incorporating a brief description of the main Emerging Technologies where the selected cutting-edge digital technologies are introduced, followed by a number of examples of international case studies in which governments and public bodies have implemented these technologies….
(More)
Code-Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age
Janna Anderson and Lee Rainie at PewResearch Center: “Algorithms are instructions for solving a problem or completing a task. Recipes are algorithms, as are math equations. Computer code is algorithmic. The internet runs on algorithms and all online searching is accomplished through them. Email knows where to go thanks to algorithms. Smartphone apps are nothing but algorithms. Computer and video games are algorithmic storytelling. Online dating and book-recommendation and travel websites would not function without algorithms. GPS mapping systems get people from point A to point B via algorithms. Artificial intelligence (AI) is naught but algorithms. The material people see on social media is brought to them by algorithms. In fact, everything people see and do on the web is a product of algorithms. Every time someone sorts a column in a spreadsheet, algorithms are at play, and most financial transactions today are accomplished by algorithms. Algorithms help gadgets respond to voice commands, recognize faces, sort photos and build and drive cars. Hacking, cyberattacks and cryptographic code-breaking exploit algorithms. Self-learning and self-programming algorithms are now emerging, so it is possible that in the future algorithms will write many if not most algorithms.
Algorithms are often elegant and incredibly useful tools used to accomplish tasks. They are mostly invisible aids, augmenting human lives in increasingly incredible ways. However, sometimes the application of algorithms created with good intentions leads to unintended consequences. Recent news items tie to these concerns:
- The British pound dropped 6.1% in value in seconds on Oct. 7, 2016, partly because of currency trades triggered by algorithms.
- Microsoft engineers created a Twitter bot named “Tay” this past spring in an attempt to chat with Millennials by responding to their prompts, but within hours it was spouting racist, sexist, Holocaust-denying tweets based on algorithms that had it “learning” how to respond to others based on what was tweeted at it.
- Facebook tried to create a feature to highlight Trending Topics from around the site in people’s feeds. First, it had a team of humans edit the feature, but controversy erupted when some accused the platform of being biased against conservatives. So, Facebook then turned the job over to algorithms only to find that they could not discern real news from fake news….(More)”.
Social Media and the Internet of Things towards Data-Driven Policymaking in the Arab World: Potential, Limits and Concerns
Paper by Fadi Salem: “The influence of social media has continued to grow globally over the past decade. During 2016 social media played a highly influential role in what has been described as a “post truth” era in policymaking, diplomacy and political communication. For example, social media “bots” arguably played a key role in influencing public opinion globally, whether on the political or public policy levels. Such practices rely heavily on big data analytics, artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms, not just in gathering and crunching public views and sentiments, but more so in pro-actively influencing public opinions, decisions and behaviors. Some of these government practices undermined traditional information mediums, triggered foreign policy crises, impacted political communication and disrupted established policy formulation cycles.
On the other hand, the digital revolution has expanded the horizon of possibilities for development, governance and policymaking. A new disruptive transformation is characterized by a fusion of inter-connected technologies where the digital, physical and biological worlds converge. This inter-connectivity is generating — and consuming — an enormous amount of data that is changing the ways policies are conducted, decisions are taken and day-to-day operations are carried out. Within this context, ‘big data’ applications are increasingly becoming critical elements of policymaking. Coupled with the rise of a critical mass of social media users globally, this ubiquitous connectivity and data revolution is promising major transformations in modes of governance, policymaking and citizen-government interaction.
In the Arab region, observations from public sector and decision-making organization suggest that there is limited understanding of the real potential, the limitations, and the public concerns surrounding these big data sources in the Arab region. This report contextualizes the findings in light of the socio-technical transformations taking place in the Arab region, by exploring the growth of social media and building on past editions in the series. The objective is to explore and assess multiple aspects of the ongoing digital transformation in the Arab world and highlight some of the policy implications on a regional level. More specifically, the report aims to better inform our understanding of the convergence of social media and IoT data as sources of big data and their potential impact on policymaking and governance in the region. Ultimately, in light of the availability of massive amount of data from physical objects and people, the questions tackled in the research are: What is the potential for data-driven policymaking and governance in the region? What are the limitations? And most importantly, what are the public concerns that need to be addressed by policymakers while they embark on next phase of the digital governance transformation in the region?
In the Arab region, there are already numerous experiments and applications where data from social media and the “Internet of Things” (IoT) are informing and influencing government practices as sources of big data, effectively changing how societies and governments interact. The report has two main parts. In the first part, we explore the questions discussed in the previous paragraphs through a regional survey spanning the 22 Arab countries. In the second part, it explores growth and usage trends of influential social media platforms across the region, including Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin and, for the first time, Instagram. The findings highlight important changes — and some stagnation — in the ways social media is infiltrating demographic layers in Arab societies, be it gender, age and language. Together, the findings provide important insights for guiding policymakers, business leaders and development efforts. More specifically, these findings can contribute to shaping directions and informing decisions on the future of governance and development in the Arab region….(More)”
Selected Readings on Algorithmic Scrutiny
By Prianka Srinivasan, Andrew Young and Stefaan Verhulst
The Living Library’s Selected Readings series seeks to build a knowledge base on innovative approaches for improving the effectiveness and legitimacy of governance. This curated and annotated collection of recommended works on the topic of algorithmic scrutiny was originally published in 2017.
Introduction
From government policy, to criminal justice, to our news feeds; to business and consumer practices, the processes that shape our lives both online and off are more and more driven by data and the complex algorithms used to form rulings or predictions. In most cases, these algorithms have created “black boxes” of decision making, where models remain inscrutable and inaccessible. It should therefore come as no surprise that several observers and policymakers are calling for more scrutiny of how algorithms are designed and work, particularly when their outcomes convey intrinsic biases or defy existing ethical standards.
While the concern about values in technology design is not new, recent developments in machine learning, artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things have increased the urgency to establish processes and develop tools to scrutinize algorithms.
In what follows, we have curated several readings covering the impact of algorithms on:
- Information Intermediaries;
- Governance
- Finance
- Justice
In addition we have selected a few readings that provide insight on possible processes and tools to establish algorithmic scrutiny.
Selected Reading List
Information Intermediaries
- Nicholas Diakopoulos – Algorithmic Accountability – Examines how algorithms exert power and influence on individuals’ lives, and what framework for “algorithmic accountability,” particularly in journalism, can be introduced to better investigate their effects.
- Nicholas Diakopoulos and Michael Koliska – Algorithmic Transparency in the News Media – Analyzes how the increased use of algorithms in journalism—through news bots and automated writing—may compromise the transparency and accountability of the industry.
- Philip M. Napoli – The Algorithm as Institution: Toward a Theoretical Framework for Automated Media Production and Consumption – Uses institutional theory to analyze the use of algorithms and automated news production and consumption tools in journalism.
- Lucas Introna and Helen Nissenbaum – Shaping the Web: Why the politics of search engines matters – An early paper that analyzes the risks of search engines in influencing politics and introducing bias in our knowledge gathering.
- Tarleton Gillespie – The Relevance of Algorithms – Provides a “conceptual map” to interrogate algorithms, their role in the information ecosystem, and the political implications of their use.
- Lee Rainie and Janna Anderson – Code-Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age – A report from the Pew Research Center that seeks to determine whether the net effect of the growing use of algorithms will be positive or negative.
- Zeynep Tufekci – Algorithmic Harms beyond Facebook and Google: Emergent Challenges of Computational Agency – Establishes some of the risks and harms in regard to algorithmic computation, particularly in their filtering abilities as seen in Facebook and other social media algorithms.
- Brent Mittelstadt, Patrick Allo, Mariarosaria Taddeo, Sandra Wachter, and Luciano Floridi – The Ethics of Algorithms: Mapping the Debate – Suggests that algorithms are increasingly becoming the mediator between data and action in our societies, which obscures their ethical implications. Develops a framework of assessing the ethics of algorithms.
Governance
- Marijn Janssen – The challenges and limits of big data algorithms in technocratic governance – Investigates the lack of accountability and transparency of algorithms in creating policies and influencing governance. Argues that pure transparency is not adequate, but a greater understanding of how algorithms work is needed to improve their accountability.
- Natascha Just and Michael Latzer – Governance by Algorithms: Reality Construction by Algorithmic Selection on the Internet – Argues that algorithmic selection can influence our lives in the same way that institutions do, by constructing realities, affecting perceptions of the world, and influencing our behaviors.
Consumer Finance
- Mireille Hildebrandt – The Dawn of a Critical Transparency Right for the Profiling Era – Analyzes and attempts to predict changes in profiling capabilities for consumers, and what laws may develop to encourage their transparency.
- Brenda Reddix-Smalls – Credit Scoring and Trade Secrecy: An Algorithmic Quagmire or How the Lack of Transparency in Complex Financial Models Scuttled the Finance Market – Argues that the lack of transparency and regulation surrounding algorithms in financial markets—particularly their use in creating finance risk models—increases the likelihood of another financial crisis like the one on 2007-2008.
Justice
- Katja Franko Aas – Sentencing Transparency in the Information Age – Looks at the use of computer assisted sentencing tools, and how this can affect trust in society, particularly in a Scandinavian context.
- Gregory Cui – Evidence-Based Sentencing and the Taint of Dangerousness – Calls for greater scrutiny of “evidence-based sentencing,” where automated risk-assessment tools are used to profile, measure and predict a defendant’s risk of recidivism.
Tools & Process Toward Algorithmic Scrutiny
- Mike Ananny and Kate Crawford – Seeing without knowing: Limitations of the transparency ideal and its application to algorithmic accountability – Looks at the “inadequacy of transparency” for algorithmic systems, and the limitations of traditional ideals of accountability and transparency when it comes to algorithms.
- Anupam Datta, Shayak Sen and Yair Zick – Algorithmic Transparency via Quantitative Input Influence: Theory and Experiments with Learning Systems – Develops a formal model for algorithmic transparency, called Quantitative Input Influence (QII) which can provide better explanations over the decisions made by algorithmic systems.
- Bryce Goodman and Seth Flaxman – European Union regulations on algorithmic decision-making and a “right to explanation.” – Analyzes the content and implications of a new EU law that creates a “right to explanation,” whereby users can ask for an explanation of an algorithmic decision made about them.
- Rene F. Kizilcec – How Much Information? Effects of Transparency on Trust in an Algorithmic Interface – Studies how transparent designs of algorithmic interfaces can foster trust in users.
- Joshua A. Kroll, Joanna Huey, Solon Barocas, Edward W. Felten, Joel R. Reidenberg, David G. Robinson, and Harlan Yu – Accountable Algorithms – Questions whether transparency itself will solve the accountability challenges of algorithms, and instead suggests that technological tools can help create automated decisions systems more in line with our legal and policy objectives.
Annotated Selected Reading List
Information Intermediaries
Diakopoulos, Nicholas. “Algorithmic accountability: Journalistic investigation of computational power structures.” Digital Journalism 3.3 (2015): 398-415. http://bit.ly/.
- This paper attempts to substantiate the notion of accountability for algorithms, particularly how they relate to media and journalism. It puts forward the notion of “algorithmic power,” analyzing the framework of influence such systems exert, and also introduces some of the challenges in the practice of algorithmic accountability, particularly for computational journalists.
- Offers a basis for how algorithms can be analyzed, built in terms of the types of decisions algorithms make in prioritizing, classifying, associating, and filtering information.
Diakopoulos, Nicholas, and Michael Koliska. “Algorithmic transparency in the news media.” Digital Journalism (2016): 1-20. http://bit.ly/2hMvXdE.
- This paper analyzes the increased use of “computational journalism,” and argues that though transparency remains a key tenet of journalism, the use of algorithms in gathering, producing and disseminating news undermines this principle.
- It first analyzes what the ethical principle of transparency means to journalists and the media. It then highlights the findings from a focus-group study, where 50 participants from the news media and academia were invited to discuss three different case studies related to the use of algorithms in journalism.
- They find two key barriers to algorithmic transparency in the media: “(1) a lack of business incentives for disclosure, and (2) the concern of overwhelming end-users with too much information.”
- The study also finds a variety of opportunities for transparency across the “data, model, inference, and interface” components of an algorithmic system.
Napoli, Philip M. “The algorithm as institution: Toward a theoretical framework for automated media production and consumption.” Fordham University Schools of Business Research Paper (2013). http://bit.ly/2hKBHqo
- This paper puts forward an analytical framework to discuss the algorithmic content creation of media and journalism in an attempt to “close the gap” on theory related to automated media production.
- By borrowing concepts from institutional theory, the paper finds that algorithms are distinct forms of media institutions, and the cultural and political implications of this interpretation.
- It urges further study in the field of “media sociology” to further unpack the influence of algorithms, and their role in institutionalizing certain norms, cultures and ways of thinking.
Introna, Lucas D., and Helen Nissenbaum. “Shaping the Web: Why the politics of search engines matters.” The Information Society 16.3 (2000): 169-185. http://bit.ly/2ijzsrg.
- This paper, published 16 years ago, provides an in-depth account of some of the risks related to search engine optimizations, and the biases and harms these can introduce, particularly on the nature of politics.
- Suggests search engines can be designed to account for these political dimensions, and better correlate with the ideal of the World Wide Web as being a place that is open, accessible and democratic.
- According to the paper, policy (and not the free market) is the only way to spur change in this field, though the current technical solutions we have introduce further challenges.
Gillespie, Tarleton. “The Relevance of Algorithms.” Media
technologies: Essays on communication, materiality, and society (2014): 167. http://bit.ly/2h6ASEu.
- This paper suggests that the extended use of algorithms, to the extent that they undercut many aspects of our lives, (Tarleton calls this public relevance algorithms) are fundamentally “producing and certifying knowledge.” In this ability to create a particular “knowledge logic,” algorithms are a primary feature of our information ecosystem.
- The paper goes on to map 6 dimensions of these public relevance algorithms:
- Patterns of inclusion
- Cycles of anticipation
- The evaluation of relevance
- The promise of algorithmic objectivity
- Entanglement with practice
- The production of calculated publics
- The paper concludes by highlighting the need for a sociological inquiry into the function, implications and contexts of algorithms, and to “soberly recognize their flaws and fragilities,” despite the fact that much of their inner workings remain hidden.
Rainie, Lee and Janna Anderson. “Code-Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age.” Pew Research Center. February 8, 2017. http://bit.ly/2kwnvCo.
- This Pew Research Center report examines the benefits and negative impacts of algorithms as they become more influential in different sectors and aspects of daily life.
- Through a scan of the research and practice, with a particular focus on the research of experts in the field, Rainie and Anderson identify seven key themes of the burgeoning Algorithm Age:
- Algorithms will continue to spread everywhere
- Good things lie ahead
- Humanity and human judgment are lost when data and predictive modeling become paramount
- Biases exist in algorithmically-organized systems
- Algorithmic categorizations deepen divides
- Unemployment will rise; and
- The need grows for algorithmic literacy, transparency and oversight
Tufekci, Zeynep. “Algorithmic harms beyond Facebook and Google: Emergent challenges of computational agency.” Journal on Telecommunications & High Technology Law 13 (2015): 203. http://bit.ly/1JdvCGo.
- This paper establishes some of the risks and harms in regard to algorithmic computation, particularly in their filtering abilities as seen in Facebook and other social media algorithms.
- Suggests that the editorial decisions performed by algorithms can have significant influence on our political and cultural realms, and categorizes the types of harms that algorithms may have on individuals and their society.
- Takes two case studies–one from the social media coverage of the Ferguson protests, the other on how social media can influence election turnouts–to analyze the influence of algorithms. In doing so, this paper lays out the “tip of the iceberg” in terms of some of the challenges and ethical concerns introduced by algorithmic computing.
Mittelstadt, Brent, Patrick Allo, Mariarosaria Taddeo, Sandra Wachter, and Luciano Floridi. “The Ethics of Algorithms: Mapping the Debate.” Big Data & Society (2016): 3(2). http://bit.ly/2kWNwL6
- This paper provides significant background and analysis of the ethical context of algorithmic decision-making. It primarily seeks to map the ethical consequences of algorithms, which have adopted the role of a mediator between data and action within societies.
- Develops a conceptual map of 6 ethical concerns:
-
- Inconclusive Evidence
-
- Inscrutable Evidence
-
- Misguided Evidence
-
- Unfair Outcomes
-
- Transformative Effects
- Traceability
-
- The paper then reviews existing literature, which together with the map creates a structure to inform future debate.
Governance
Janssen, Marijn, and George Kuk. “The challenges and limits of big data algorithms in technocratic governance.” Government Information Quarterly 33.3 (2016): 371-377. http://bit.ly/2hMq4z6.
- In regarding the centrality of algorithms in enforcing policy and extending governance, this paper analyzes the “technocratic governance” that has emerged by the removal of humans from decision making processes, and the inclusion of algorithmic automation.
- The paper argues that the belief in technocratic governance producing neutral and unbiased results, since their decision-making processes are uninfluenced by human thought processes, is at odds with studies that reveal the inherent discriminatory practices that exist within algorithms.
- Suggests that algorithms are still bound by the biases of designers and policy-makers, and that accountability is needed to improve the functioning of an algorithm. In order to do so, we must acknowledge the “intersecting dynamics of algorithm as a sociotechnical materiality system involving technologies, data and people using code to shape opinion and make certain actions more likely than others.”
Just, Natascha, and Michael Latzer. “Governance by algorithms: reality construction by algorithmic selection on the Internet.” Media, Culture & Society (2016): 0163443716643157. http://bit.ly/2h6B1Yv.
- This paper provides a conceptual framework on how to assess the governance potential of algorithms, asking how technology and software governs individuals and societies.
- By understanding algorithms as institutions, the paper suggests that algorithmic governance puts in place more evidence-based and data-driven systems than traditional governance methods. The result is a form of governance that cares more about effects than causes.
- The paper concludes by suggesting that algorithmic selection on the Internet tends to shape individuals’ realities and social orders by “increasing individualization, commercialization, inequalities, deterritorialization, and decreasing transparency, controllability, predictability.”
Consumer Finance
Hildebrandt, Mireille. “The dawn of a critical transparency right for the profiling era.” Digital Enlightenment Yearbook 2012 (2012): 41-56. http://bit.ly/2igJcGM.
- Analyzes the use of consumer profiling by online businesses in order to target marketing and services to their needs. By establishing how this profiling relates to identification, the author also offers some of the threats to democracy and the right of autonomy posed by these profiling algorithms.
- The paper concludes by suggesting that cross-disciplinary transparency is necessary to design more accountable profiling techniques that can match the extension of “smart environments” that capture ever more data and information from users.
Reddix-Smalls, Brenda. “Credit Scoring and Trade Secrecy: An Algorithmic Quagmire or How the Lack of Transparency in Complex Financial Models Scuttled the Finance Market.” UC Davis Business Law Journal 12 (2011): 87. http://bit.ly/2he52ch
- Analyzes the creation of predictive risk models in financial markets through algorithmic systems, particularly in regard to credit scoring. It suggests that these models were corrupted in order to maintain a competitive market advantage: “The lack of transparency and the legal environment led to the use of these risk models as predatory credit pricing instruments as opposed to accurate credit scoring predictive instruments.”
- The paper suggests that without greater transparency of these financial risk model, and greater regulation over their abuse, another financial crisis like that in 2008 is highly likely.
Justice
Aas, Katja Franko. “Sentencing Transparency in the Information Age.” Journal of Scandinavian Studies in Criminology and Crime Prevention 5.1 (2004): 48-61. http://bit.ly/2igGssK.
- This paper questions the use of predetermined sentencing in the US judicial system through the application of computer technology and sentencing information systems (SIS). By assessing the use of these systems between the English speaking world and Norway, the author suggests that such technological approaches to sentencing attempt to overcome accusations of mistrust, uncertainty and arbitrariness often leveled against the judicial system.
- However, in their attempt to rebuild trust, such technological solutions can be seen as an attempt to remedy a flawed view of judges by the public. Therefore, the political and social climate must be taken into account when trying to reform these sentencing systems: “The use of the various sentencing technologies is not only, and not primarily, a matter of technological development. It is a matter of a political and cultural climate and the relations of trust in a society.”
Cui, Gregory. “Evidence-Based Sentencing and the Taint of Dangerousness.” Yale Law Journal Forum 125 (2016): 315-315. http://bit.ly/1XLAvhL.
- This short essay submitted on the Yale Law Journal Forum calls for greater scrutiny of “evidence based sentencing,” where past data is computed and used to predict future criminal behavior of a defendant. The author suggests that these risk models may undermine the Constitution’s prohibition of bills of attainder, and also are unlawful for inflicting punishment without a judicial trial.
Tools & Processes Toward Algorithmic Scrutiny
Ananny, Mike and Crawford, Kate. “Seeing without knowing: Limitations of the transparency ideal and its application to algorithmic accountability.” New Media & Society. SAGE Publications. 2016. http://bit.ly/2hvKc5x.
- This paper attempts to critically analyze calls to improve the transparency of algorithms, asking how historically we are able to confront the limitations of the transparency ideal in computing.
- By establishing “transparency as an ideal” the paper tracks the philosophical and historical lineage of this principle, attempting to establish what laws and provisions were put in place across the world to keep up with and enforce this ideal.
- The paper goes on to detail the limits of transparency as an ideal, arguing, amongst other things, that it does not necessarily build trust, it privileges a certain function (seeing) over others (say, understanding) and that it has numerous technical limitations.
- The paper ends by concluding that transparency is an inadequate way to govern algorithmic systems, and that accountability must acknowledge the ability to govern across systems.
Datta, Anupam, Shayak Sen, and Yair Zick. “Algorithmic Transparency via Quantitative Input Influence.” Proceedings of 37th IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy. 2016. http://bit.ly/2hgyLTp.
- This paper develops what is called a family of Quantitative Input Influence (QII) measures “that capture the degree of influence of inputs on outputs of systems.” The attempt is to theorize a transparency report that is to accompany any algorithmic decisions made, in order to explain any decisions and detect algorithmic discrimination.
- QII works by breaking “correlations between inputs to allow causal reasoning, and computes the marginal influence of inputs in situations where inputs cannot affect outcomes alone.”
- Finds that these QII measures are useful in scrutinizing algorithms when “black box” access is available.
Goodman, Bryce, and Seth Flaxman. “European Union regulations on algorithmic decision-making and a right to explanation” arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.08813 (2016). http://bit.ly/2h6xpWi.
- This paper analyzes the implications of a new EU law, to be enacted in 2018, that calls to “restrict automated individual decision-making (that is, algorithms that make decisions based on user level predictors) which ‘significantly affect’ users.” The law will also allow for a “right to explanation” where users can ask for an explanation behind automated decision made about them.
- The paper, while acknowledging the challenges in implementing such laws, suggests that such regulations can spur computer scientists to create algorithms and decision making systems that are more accountable, can provide explanations, and do not produce discriminatory results.
- The paper concludes by stating algorithms and computer systems should not aim to be simply efficient, but also fair and accountable. It is optimistic about the ability to put in place interventions to account for and correct discrimination.
Kizilcec, René F. “How Much Information?: Effects of Transparency on Trust in an Algorithmic Interface.” Proceedings of the 2016 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems. ACM, 2016. http://bit.ly/2hMjFUR.
- This paper studies how transparency of algorithms affects our impression of trust by conducting an online field experiment, where participants enrolled in a MOOC a given different explanations for the computer generated grade given in their class.
- The study found that “Individuals whose expectations were violated (by receiving a lower grade than expected) trusted the system less, unless the grading algorithm was made more transparent through explanation. However, providing too much information eroded this trust.”
- In conclusion, the study found that a balance of transparency was needed to maintain trust amongst the participants, suggesting that pure transparency of algorithmic processes and results may not correlate with high feelings of trust amongst users.
Kroll, Joshua A., et al. “Accountable Algorithms.” University of Pennsylvania Law Review 165 (2016). http://bit.ly/2i6ipcO.
- This paper suggests that policy and legal standards need to be updated given the increased use of algorithms to perform tasks and make decisions in arenas that people once did. An “accountability mechanism” is lacking in many of these automated decision making processes.
- The paper argues that mere transparency through the divulsion of source code is inadequate when confronting questions of accountability. Rather, technology itself provides a key to create algorithms and decision making apparatuses more inline with our existing political and legal frameworks.
- The paper assesses some computational techniques that may provide possibilities to create accountable software and reform specific cases of automated decisionmaking. For example, diversity and anti-discrimination orders can be built into technology to ensure fidelity to policy choices.
Can artificial intelligence wipe out bias unconscious bias from your workplace?
Lydia Dishman at Fast Company: “Unconscious bias is exactly what it sounds like: The associations we make whenever we face a decision are buried so deep (literally—the gland responsible for this, the amygdala, is surrounded by the brain’s gray matter) that we’re as unaware of them as we are of having to breathe.
So it’s not much of a surprise that Ilit Raz, cofounder and CEO of Joonko, a new application that acts as diversity “coach” powered by artificial intelligence, wasn’t even aware at first of the unconscious bias she was facing as a woman in the course of a normal workday. Raz’s experience coming to grips with that informs the way she and her cofounders designed Joonko to work.
The tool joins a crowded field of AI-driven solutions for the workplace, but most of what’s on the market is meant to root out bias in recruiting and hiring. Joonko, by contrast, is setting its sights on illuminating unconscious bias in the types of workplace experiences where few people even think to look for it….
so far, a lot of these resources have been focused on addressing the hiring process. An integral part of the problem, after all, is getting enough diverse candidates in the recruiting pipeline so they can be considered for jobs. Apps like Blendoor hide a candidate’s name, age, employment history, criminal background, and even their photo so employers can focus on qualifications. Interviewing.io’s platform even masks applicants’ voices. Text.io uses AI to parse communications in order to make job postings more gender-neutral. Unitive’s technology also focuses on hiring, with software designed to detect unconscious bias in Applicant Tracking Systems that read resumes and decide which ones to keep or scrap based on certain keywords.
But as Intel recently discovered, hiring diverse talent doesn’t always mean they’ll stick around. And while one 2014 estimate by Margaret Regan, head of the global diversity consultancy FutureWork Institute, found that 20% of large U.S. employers with diversity programs now provide unconscious-bias training—a number that could reach 50% by next year—that training doesn’t always work as intended. The reasons why vary, from companies putting programs on autopilot and expecting them to run themselves, to the simple fact that many employees who are trained ultimately forget what they learned a few days later.
Joonko doesn’t solve these problems. “We didn’t even start with recruiting,” Raz admits. “We started with task management.” She explains that when a company finally hires a diverse candidate, it needs to understand that the best way to retain them is to make sure they feel included and are given the same opportunities as everyone else. That’s where Joonko sees an opening…(More)”.
Doctors take inspiration from online dating to build organ transplant AI
Ariel Bogle at Mashable :”When Bob Jones performed one of Victoria’s first liver transplants in 1988, he could not imagine that 29 years later he’d be talking about artificial intelligence and online dating. Jones is the director of Austin Health’s Victorian liver transplant unit in Melbourne, Australia, and along with his colleague Lawrence Lau, he has helped develop an algorithm that could potentially better match organ donors with organ recipients.
Comparing it to the metrics behind dating site eHarmony, Jone said they planned to use the specially-designed AI to improve the accuracy of matching liver donors and recipients, hopefully resulting in less graft failures and fewer patient deaths.
“It’s a specially designed machine learning algorithm using multiple donor and recipient features to predict the outcome,” he explained.
The team plugged around 25 characteristics of donors and recipients into their AI, using the data points to retrospectively predict what would happen to organ grafts.
“We used all the basic things like sex, age, underlying disease, blood type,” he said. “And then there are certain characteristics about the donor … and all the parameters that might indicate the liver might be upset.”
Using the AI to assess the retrospective results of 75 adult patients who’d had transplants, they found the method predicted graft failure 30 days post-transplant at an accuracy of 84 percent compared to 68 percent with current methods.
“It really meant for the first time we could assess an organ’s suitability in a quantitive way,” he added, “as opposed to the current method, which really comes down to the position of the doctor eyeballing all the data and making a call based on their experience.”
Improving the accuracy of organ donor matches is vital, because as Jones put it, “it’s an extraordinary, precious gift from one Australian to another.”…(More)”
Protecting One’s Own Privacy in a Big Data Economy
Anita L. Allen in the Harvard Law Review Forum: “Big Data is the vast quantities of information amenable to large-scale collection, storage, and analysis. Using such data, companies and researchers can deploy complex algorithms and artificial intelligence technologies to reveal otherwise unascertained patterns, links, behaviors, trends, identities, and practical knowledge. The information that comprises Big Data arises from government and business practices, consumer transactions, and the digital applications sometimes referred to as the “Internet of Things.” Individuals invisibly contribute to Big Data whenever they live digital lifestyles or otherwise participate in the digital economy, such as when they shop with a credit card, get treated at a hospital, apply for a job online, research a topic on Google, or post on Facebook.
Privacy advocates and civil libertarians say Big Data amounts to digital surveillance that potentially results in unwanted personal disclosures, identity theft, and discrimination in contexts such as employment, housing, and financial services. These advocates and activists say typical consumers and internet users do not understand the extent to which their activities generate data that is being collected, analyzed, and put to use for varied governmental and business purposes.
I have argued elsewhere that individuals have a moral obligation to respect not only other people’s privacy but also their own. Here, I wish to comment first on whether the notion that individuals have a moral obligation to protect their own information privacy is rendered utterly implausible by current and likely future Big Data practices; and on whether a conception of an ethical duty to self-help in the Big Data context may be more pragmatically framed as a duty to be part of collective actions encouraging business and government to adopt more robust privacy protections and data security measures….(More)”
The social data revolution will be crowdsourced
Nicholas B. Adams at SSRC Parameters: “It is now abundantly clear to librarians, archivists, computer scientists, and many social scientists that we are in a transformational age. If we can understand and measure meaning from all of these data describing so much of human activity, we will finally be able to test and revise our most intricate theories of how the world is socially constructed through our symbolic interactions….
We cannot write enough rules to teach a computer to read like us. And because the social world is not a game per se, we can’t design a reinforcement-learning scenario teaching a computer to “score points” and just ‘win.’ But AlphaGo’s example does show a path forward. Recall that much of AlphaGo’s training came in the form of supervised machine learning, where humans taught it to play like them by showing the machine how human experts played the game. Already, humans have used this same supervised learning approach to teach computers to classify images, identify parts of speech in text, or categorize inventories into various bins. Without writing any rules, simply by letting the computer guess, then giving it human-generated feedback about whether it guessed right or wrong, humans can teach computers to label data as we do. The problem is (or has been): humans label textual data slowly—very, very slowly. So, we have generated precious little data with which to teach computers to understand natural language as we do. But that is going to change….
The single greatest factor dilating the duration of such large-scale text-labeling projects has been workforce training and turnover. ….The key to organizing work for the crowd, I had learned from talking to computer scientists, was task decomposition. The work had to be broken down into simple pieces that any (moderately intelligent) person could do through a web interface without requiring face-to-face training. I knew from previous experiments with my team that I could not expect a crowd worker to read a whole article, or to know our whole conceptual scheme defining everything of potential interest in those articles. Requiring either or both would be asking too much. But when I realized that my conceptual scheme could actually be treated as multiple smaller conceptual schemes, the idea came to me: Why not have my RAs identify units of text that corresponded with the units of analysis of my conceptual scheme? Then, crowd workers reading those much smaller units of text could just label them according to a smaller sub-scheme. Moreover, I came to realize, we could ask them leading questions about the text to elicit information about the variables and attributes in the scheme, so they wouldn’t have to memorize the scheme either. By having them highlight the words justifying their answers, they would be labeling text according to our scheme without any face-to-face training. Bingo….
This approach promises more, too. The databases generated by crowd workers, citizen scientists, and students can also be used to train machines to see in social data what we humans see comparatively easily. Just as AlphaGo learned from humans how to play a strategy game, our supervision can also help it learn to see the social world in textual or video data. The final products of social data analysis assembly lines, therefore, are not merely rich and massive databases allowing us to refine our most intricate, elaborate, and heretofore data-starved theories; they are also computer algorithms that will do most or all social data labeling in the future. In other words, whether we know it or not, we social scientists hold the key to developing artificial intelligences capable of understanding our social world….
At stake is a social science with the capacity to quantify and qualify so many of our human practices, from the quotidian to mythic, and to lead efforts to improve them. In decades to come, we may even be able to follow the path of other mature sciences (including physics, biology, and chemistry) and shift our focus toward engineering better forms of sociality. All the more so because it engages the public, a crowd-supported social science could enlist a new generation in the confident and competent re-construction of society….(More)”