Stefaan Verhulst
Article by Haishan Fu, Aivin Solatorio, Olivier Dupriez and Craig Hammer: “AI, particularly large language models (LLMs), is completely transforming the way people interact with data. Data users at all levels of experience and expertise—from first-timers to power users—are now able to pose complex questions in natural language to chatbots, to which they expect to promptly find, interpret, and present data-driven insights packaged as pithy, accurate responses.
For this evolution to be successful, AI systems need to get it right. This means the data being accessed and interpreted by AI systems must first be evaluated, validated, structured, governed, and shared in ways that support the responsible and effective use of AI. In short, the data must be “AI-ready.”
AI-ready data does not supplant earlier advancements, foundational concepts, or standards—such as the Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics, open data frameworks, or the FAIR (Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, and Reusable) principles—but rather it builds on them. By extending established foundations and standards, AI-ready data means that development data is continuously open, discoverable, and reusable, while ensuring that it is systematically organized and well-documented, to facilitate seamless use by both people and AI systems. Ensuring AI-readiness can thus shorten the distance between development data and decision-making for better policies and faster innovation, democratizing development insights. The World Bank, in its efforts to become a bigger, better “Data Bank,” is already working to make this happen, in partnership with country partners and the global development community…(More)” See also: Moving Toward the FAIR-R principles: Advancing AI-Ready Data.
Paper by Alisha Suhag, Romana Burgess and Anya Skatova: “The growing ubiquity of digital footprint data presents new opportunities for behavioral epidemiology and public health research. Among these, supermarket loyalty card data—passively collected records of consumer purchases—offer objective, high-frequency insights into health-related behaviors at both individual and population levels. This paper explores the potential of loyalty card data to strengthen public health surveillance across 4 key behavioral risk domains: diet, alcohol, tobacco, and over-the-counter medication use. Drawing on recent empirical studies, we outline how these data can complement traditional epidemiological data sources by improving exposure assessment, enabling real-time trend monitoring, and supporting intervention evaluation. We also discuss critical methodological challenges, including issues of representativeness, data integration, and privacy, as well as the need for robust validation strategies. By synthesizing the current evidence base and offering practical recommendations for researchers, this paper highlights how loyalty card data can be responsibly leveraged to advance behavioral risk monitoring and support the adaptation of epidemiological practice to contemporary digital data environments…(More)”.
Paper by Elena Murray, Moiz Raja Shaikh, Stefaan Verhulst, Hinali Dosh, Romeo Leapciuc, Perizat Mamutalieva, and Mahadia Tunga: “As data-driven service delivery expands, data reuse holds significant potential to improve access to and quality of essential services for young people. However, limited youth involvement in decisions about how their data is reused risks perpetuating mistrust and deepening the inequalities that these services seek to address, particularly if young people choose to avoid seeking services or withhold critical information out of fear of misuse. Responsible data reuse to enhance service delivery must therefore be grounded in methodologies that meaningfully engage youth and reflect their preferences and expectations. This paper presents findings from the NextGenData project, which developed and piloted a scalable methodology for engaging young people aged 19-24 in co-designing responsible data reuse strategies. Conducted as a year-long participatory action research initiative across India, Tanzania, Moldova, and Kyrgyzstan, the approach implemented youth assemblies, deliberative methods, and localized facilitation by national partners to engage young people. The study emphasizes the importance of context-specific, culturally responsive facilitation, and sustained, multi-phase engagement as the foundation for establishing a social license for data reuse. We present recommendations for practitioners to embed youth-centered approaches in data governance and offer a publicly available toolkit for replication. By centering young people in data decisions, this methodology advances ethical, inclusive, and effective service delivery and digital self-determination for young generations…(More)”.
Article by The Financial Times Editorial Board: “Pity anyone tasked with delivering bad news about the US economy to Donald Trump. For months, Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell has drawn the president’s ire by failing to engineer cuts to interest rates — prompting childish name-calling and threats to his job. On Friday, it was the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ turn. The agency published sluggish non-farm payroll numbers for July, and reduced its estimates for job creation in the prior two months by a chunky 258,000. Erika McEntarfer, the agency’s commissioner, was spared the insults only to be fired on the spot. A replacement is expected to be announced soon.
Trump claimed, without evidence, that McEntarfer massaged the figures. The most likely explanation is that the US president simply did not like the numbers. It was only a matter of time before the administration’s cuts to civil service jobs, downbeat surveys of private sector hiring plans and the strain of elevated interest rates showed up in the headline numbers. And although last week’s data downgrades were large, non-farm payrolls are notoriously volatile and revisions are common. The president said: “Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can’t be manipulated for political purposes.” Yet by sacking the BLS chief on dubious grounds, he has undermined trust in America’s economic data, and politicised it.
First, the drastic move creates a culture of fear around the production of national economic statistics. This gives investors, businesses and the Fed reason to doubt whether concerns around a presidential backlash might influence forthcoming data releases not just from the BLS but also from other public bodies, including the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which produces the GDP numbers. Second, it is likely that Trump’s replacement for McEntarfer might be more pliant to his demands. That threatens the integrity of the BLS’s data itself, not just how it is perceived.
The president’s actions are unhelpful for his own ambitions too. The BLS produces reports on the labour market and inflation, which underpin the pricing of trillions of dollars in assets globally. While private data sources can plug some gaps, stoking doubts over the credibility of national data still erodes the ability of investors, businesses and policymakers to make informed decisions. Ironically, the central bank is looking for clear signs of weakness in the labour market before making the rate cuts that Trump so desires. Just as worrying is the imminent replacement of Fed governor Adriana Kugler — who, on Friday, stepped down early — with what Trump hopes will be a puppet rate-setter.
The BLS is not without flaws. Like many national statistics bodies, it has faced falling survey response rates, especially since the pandemic. This has raised questions over the representativeness of its samples and the accuracy of its aggregations. A funding squeeze — exacerbated by the Trump administration’s own public sector cutbacks — hasn’t helped. In February, several advisory councils to federal statistical agencies were also terminated. Rather than engaging in a useful revamp of national statistics, Trump has gone for the heavy-handed option.
The president isn’t alone. He joins a list of leaders, including from Turkey, Iran, Russia, Argentina and China, accused in recent years of meddling with economic institutions in order to control the public narrative…(More)”
Article by Cade Metz: “In downtown Berkeley, an old hotel has become a temple to the pursuit of artificial intelligence and the future of humanity. Its name is Lighthaven.
Covering much of a city block, this gated complex includes five buildings and a small park dotted with rose bushes, stone fountains and neoclassical statues. Stained glass windows glisten on the top floor of the tallest building, called Bayes House after an 18th-century mathematician and philosopher. Lighthaven is the de facto headquarters of a group who call themselves the Rationalists. This group has many interests involving mathematics, genetics and philosophy. One of their overriding beliefs is that artificial intelligence can deliver a better life if it doesn’t destroy humanity first. And the Rationalists believe it is up to the people building A.I. to ensure that it is a force for the greater good.
The Rationalists were talking about A.I. risks years before OpenAI created ChatGPT, which brought A.I. into the mainstream and turned Silicon Valley on its head. Their influence has quietly spread through many tech companies, from industry giants like Google to A.I. pioneers like OpenAI and Anthropic.
Many of the A.I. world’s biggest names — including Shane Legg, a co-founder of Google’s DeepMind; Anthropic’s chief executive, Dario Amodei; and Paul Christiano, a former OpenAI researcher who now leads safety work at the U.S. Center for A.I. Standards and Innovation — have been influenced by Rationalist philosophy. Elon Musk, who runs his own A.I. company, said that many of the community’s ideas align with his own.
Mr. Musk met his former partner, the pop star Grimes, after they made the same cheeky reference to a Rationalist belief called Roko’s Basilisk. This elaborate thought experiment argues that when an all-powerful A.I. arrives, it will punish everyone who has not done everything they can to bring it into existence.
But these tech industry leaders stop short of calling themselves Rationalists, often because that label has over the years invited ridicule…(More)”.
Article by David Adam: “Attached to the Very Large Telescope in Chile, the Multi Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) allows researchers to probe the most distant galaxies. It’s a popular instrument: for its next observing session, from October to April, scientists have applied for more than 3,000 hours of observation time. That’s a problem. Even though it’s dubbed a cosmic time machine, not even MUSE can squeeze 379 nights of work into just seven months.
The European Southern Observatory (ESO), which runs the Chile telescope, usually asks panels of experts to select the worthiest proposals. But as the number of requests has soared, so has the burden on the scientists asked to grade them.
“The load was simply unbearable,” says astronomer Nando Patat at ESO’s Observing Programmes Office in Garching, Germany. So, in 2022, ESO passed the work back to the applicants. Teams that want observing time must also assess related applications from rival groups.AI is transforming peer review — and many scientists are worried
The change is one increasingly popular answer to the labour crisis engulfing peer review — the process by which grant applications and research manuscripts are assessed and filtered by specialists before a final decision is made about funding or publication.
With the number of scholarly papers rising each year, publishers and editors complain that it’s getting harder to get everything reviewed. And some funding bodies, such as ESO, are struggling to find reviewers.
As pressure on the system grows, many researchers point to low-quality or error-strewn research appearing in journals as an indictment of their peer-review systems failing to uphold rigour. Others complain that clunky grant-review systems are preventing exciting research ideas from being funded…(More)”.
Article by Sophia Fox-Sowell: “Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker last Friday signed a a bill into law banning the use of artificial intelligence from providing mental health services, aiming to protect residents from potentially harmful advice.
Known as the Wellness and Oversight for Psychological Resources Act, the law prohibits AI systems from delivering therapeutic treatment or making clinical decisions. The legislation still allows AI tools to be used in administrative roles, such as scheduling or note-taking, but draws a clear boundary around direct patient care.
Companies or individuals found to be in violation could face $10,000 in fines, enforced by the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation.
“The people of Illinois deserve quality healthcare from real, qualified professionals and not computer programs that pull information from all corners of the internet to generate responses that harm patients,” Mario Treto, Jr., Illinois’ financial regulation secretary, said in a press release. “This legislation stands as our commitment to safeguarding the well-being of our residents by ensuring that mental health services are delivered by trained experts who prioritize patient care above all else.”
The new legislation is a response to growing concerns over the use of AI in sensitive areas like health care. The Washington Post reported last May that an AI-powered therapist chatbot recommended “a small hit of meth to get through this week” to a fictional former addict.
Last year, the Illinois House Health Care Licenses and Insurance Committees held a joint hearing on AI in health insurance in which legislators and experts warned that AI systems lack the empathy, accountability or clinical oversight necessary for safe mental health treatment…(More)”.
Report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine: “As the artificial intelligence (AI) landscape rapidly evolves, many state and local governments are exploring how to use these technologies to enhance public services and governance. Alongside the potential to improve efficiency, responsiveness, and decision-making, AI adoption also brings challenges including concerns about privacy, bias, transparency, public trust, and long-term oversight. This guidance is intended for those involved in shaping, implementing, or managing AI in state and local government. By following structured, evidence-informed strategies, governments can integrate AI tools responsibly and in ways that reflect community values and institutional goals…(More)”.
Essay by Henry Farrell and Hahrie Han: “Could existing democratic institutions and processes be improved by AI? A burgeoning body of scholarship asks how AI-driven machine learning can improve—or even replace— democratic institutions that aggregate opinions and beliefs (Ovadya 2023, Jungherr 2023).
This literature makes strong, but often unstated assumptions about how democracy works, and where it can go wrong, creating a tacit paradigm that guides scholars to focus on some questions, problems, and hypotheses at the expense of others. As one of us has argued together with co-authors in the past:
Paradigms guide action. Particularly in moments of crisis, those paradigms—or cohered sets of assumptions about ourselves, each other, and the world around us—shape the intentions we develop, the solutions we imagine, and, ultimately, the actions we choose. What happens when the paradigms we carry are limited or, worse, wrong? … [Paradigms] illuminate possibilities for change, they also constrain where we look. The wrong paradigm leads us to misread situations, overlook opportunities, and pursue the wrong solutions. (Vallone et al 2023)
In this paper, we argue that the existing paradigm of democracy driving scholarship about its relationship to AI highlights the wrong questions. The essay describes this broad paradigm—which emphasizes the benefits of deliberation and sortition—and explains why it is insufficient for understanding or acting in a healthy democracy. We argue that we should instead focus on enduring democratic publics and how they shape collective behavior. That would raise very different questions. How might AI reshape these publics and the feedback loops that they depend on? Will this contribute to democratic stability or undermine it? Such questions would underpin a broader and different research agenda on AI and democracy than the one we have today…(More)”.
Paper by Kiran Tomlinson et al: “Given the rapid adoption of generative AI and its potential to impact a wide range of tasks, understanding the effects of AI on the economy is one of society’s most important questions. In this work, we take a step toward that goal by analyzing the work activities people do with AI, how successfully and broadly those activities are done, and combine that with data on what occupations do those activities. We analyze a dataset of 200k anonymized and privacy-scrubbed conversations between users and Microsoft Bing Copilot, a publicly available generative AI system. We find the most common work activities people seek AI assistance for involve gathering information and writing, while the most common activities that AI itself is performing are providing information and assistance, writing, teaching, and advising. Combining these activity classifications with measurements of task success and scope of impact, we compute an AI applicability score for each occupation. We find the highest AI applicability scores for knowledge work occupation groups such as computer and mathematical, and office and administrative support, as well as occupations such as sales whose work activities involve providing and communicating information. Additionally, we characterize the types of work activities performed most successfully, how wage and education correlate with AI applicability, and how real-world usage compares to predictions of occupational AI impact…(More)”.